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Track record

Blog trading record and linked directory

As of 16 August 2016:

Total winning trades =     20   Total %age points gained =     149.3%
Total losing trades     =     10        Total %age points lost  =      48.9%

Gains : Losses = 3.05 : 1

Here is a full trading record and linked directory of every post made since March 2012. It is easier to download it rather than view it in the browser.

Highlights

Russell 2000 Index: Identified a low in February 2016 from RSI and breadth divergences

  • Bullish divergences on 14 day RSI and 50 day moving average breadth led to a 10.2% rally in the following three weeks

Consumer Discretionary ETF: Identified the November 2015 peak from a large breadth divergence

  • Bearish divergence led to a 15.9% drop into the February 2016 low

Apple: Identified top from weekly RSI divergence

  • Price and relative RSI divergences shown in September 2012
  • Entry criteria defined, short position entered at $667.10
  • Position closed in stages for a 10.7% profit

Yen: Identified weakness. Found Japanese pairs to benefit

  • Moving average crossover method highlights possibility of Yen weakness, then Bollinger Band method identifies the timing
  • Long exporter – short domestic Japanese stock pairs identified using Bollinger Band breakout method
  • Kubota (KUB) v Nippon Telegraph & Telephone (NTT) gains 20.0% over seven weeks

US long bonds: Identified yield low from weekly RSI divergence

  • Showed divergence forming in May 2012, updated in June 2012
  • Showed progress of RSI divergence ideas in February 2013
  • Yield rallied from 2.47% in July 2012 to 3.75% as of August 2013. T Bond ETF down 20.3%

Gold: Stock pairs, long term relative weakness, then a tradable low

  • Identified Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) to outperform sector from RSI divergence. Pair trade gained 25.3%.
  • Identified move to long term underperformance for gold stocks from moving average crossover.
  • Used breadth to show gold stocks not oversold in their downtrend
  • Identified bullish weekly RSI divergence for gold stock index. Trade gained 15.2%

UK stock rotations: Long term moving average crossovers

US stock rotations: Long term moving average crossovers

Performance ranking (PR) divergence:

US sector rotations: Long term moving average crossovers

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